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Live forecasts update automatically; written guidance last reviewed 23 June 2026 by the Coast Current Weather Desk. Data from the Bureau of Meteorology (BOM) and other national met services via Open-Meteo.
Live data from Open-Meteo · updates automatically ·
Melbourne’s monthly weather is famously variable, with average highs ranging from 14°C in July to 26°C in January and rainfall spread fairly evenly across the year — about 600 mm annually. The live forecast above for Sydney offers a useful comparison, but Melbourne’s weather tends to be more changeable due to its coastal position and the “four seasons in one day” pattern.
What drives monthly weather in Melbourne?
Melbourne sits on the southern coast of mainland Australia, exposed to cool fronts from the Southern Ocean. This creates a temperate oceanic climate with mild, wet winters (June–August) and warm, often dry summers (December–February). Spring (September–November) and autumn (March–May) bring moderate temperatures but frequent changeable conditions. The highest monthly average rainfall occurs in October (about 66 mm), while January and February are the driest months. For a detailed breakdown of current conditions, visit the Melbourne Weather page.
How far ahead can you expect a reliable monthly forecast?
The Bureau of Meteorology’s 28-day weather forecast for Melbourne (BOM) provides a general trend — temperature averages and rainfall odds — rather than day-by-day accuracy beyond about seven days. A BOM 30-day forecast for Melbourne works the same way: useful for planning but not for exact timing. If you’re looking at weather in Melbourne in October and November, expect warm spring days (20–25°C) with increasing humidity and occasional thunderstorms. For monthly weather Geelong, the pattern is similar to Melbourne’s, as Geelong lies just 75 km southwest — slightly cooler in summer and a touch drier overall.
What is the weather in Melbourne in October and November?
October averages 18–20°C with 66 mm rain; November warms to 22–24°C with slightly less rainfall. Both months can bring morning fog and afternoon sea breezes, typical of spring.
How accurate is the 28-day forecast from BOM for Melbourne?
BOM’s 28-day outlook gives confidence in temperature trends (e.g., warmer or cooler than average) but not precise day-by-day conditions. For short-term planning, check the 7-day forecast alongside our Australia weather hub.
Is Melbourne’s monthly weather similar to Sydney’s?
No — Sydney (as shown in the live forecast above) is warmer and wetter overall, especially in summer, because it’s on the east coast. Melbourne experiences more frequent cold fronts and lower humidity throughout the year.